marketdocs
$PMARKETApp
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Everything behind market, from prediction to payout.

Introduction

A simple prediction market for measurable activity in the Pons ecosystem.

market is an independent prediction game built around real Pons activity. Choose an objectively measurable outcome, stake PONS, and claim PONS if the outcome wins.

Predict pons. Earn PONS.No new asset, no long or short position, and no project-funded rewards.

Core principles

  • PONS is the only asset accepted by the market contract.
  • Users keep custody until they approve and enter a market.
  • Outcomes come from public Robinhood Chain history, not user submissions.
  • Winners are paid from that market's own PONS pool.
  • Score rewards prediction skill over the most recent 30 resolved predictions.

About $PMARKET

$PMARKET is the product's compact community identity. It is not a prediction asset or a replacement for PONS: stakes, pools, fees, burns and payouts remain denominated only in PONS.

Independent by design

market is not operated by, affiliated with, or endorsed by pons. It reads public contracts and the canonical PONS pool directly, without relying on a proprietary Pons API or partner integration.

How it works

From connecting a wallet to claiming a settled PONS payout.

The full user flow is intentionally short. The wallet signs transactions; the server never takes custody of PONS and does not submit recurring operator transactions.

  1. Connect.Use an injected wallet and switch to Robinhood Chain mainnet.
  2. Choose.Select one outcome in a live, objectively resolvable market.
  3. Approve.Approve only the PONS allowance needed for the intended stake.
  4. Predict.The contract transfers PONS and aggregates repeated entries into one position.
  5. Settle.After close, indexed chain data determines the result and any user may carry the signed resolution onchain.
  6. Claim.Each winning position can claim exactly once; void positions receive a full refund.

Market timing

Entry closes before the measurement window ends. Positions cannot be changed after close. A resolution is only signed after the complete relevant block range has been indexed and independently checked.

Payout estimates

The interface may show an estimate using the pool currently visible. It is never a guarantee: later entries can change outcome shares and Score-pool weights before close.

PONS Score

A deterministic, rolling measure of prediction skill.

PONS Score measures prediction skill. Every wallet starts at 1,000, and the active score is recalculated deterministically from its last 30 resolved predictions.

difficultymin(3, total market stake / winning option stake)
correct prediction+100 × difficulty
wrong prediction−50

The final active score is clamped between 0 and 10,000. Difficulty is fixed from market totals at close, so successfully choosing a less popular winning outcome earns more.

Economic weight

Score multiplier1 + score / 10,000

A user's score is snapshotted when they first enter a market. The 1.0× to 2.0× multiplier applies only to the 3% Score bonus pool. It never multiplies the normal 95% winner pool or the entire payout.

Lifetime statistics

Accuracy, predictions made, PONS won, PONS lost and best streak are displayed separately from the rolling score. Older results remain visible in lifetime statistics but stop affecting active Score after they leave the 30-result window.

Payouts

How every settled market pot is allocated and when full refunds apply.

A valid market with winning stake divides its final PONS pot into four fixed parts at settlement.

95%Normal winner poolProportional to winning stake
3%PONS Score poolWeighted winning stake
1%Protocol treasuryConfigurable recipient
1%PONS burnSent permanently to the dead address

Winner math

The normal pool is shared by winners in proportion to their stake. The Score pool is shared in proportion to winning stake × snapshotted Score multiplier. Integer rounding remains in the contract, and no claim can exceed its mathematically available share.

Voids and zero-winner results

If a market is void, invalid, ambiguous, or has no stake on the measured winning outcome, every participant can refund 100% of deposited PONS. No treasury share is taken and nothing is burned.

Burn destination: 0x000000000000000000000000000000000000dEaD

Markets & data

Objective markets generated and resolved from Robinhood Chain activity.

Markets concern PONS or activity produced directly through Pons. They are generated from recent chain activity and must have one objective onchain answer.

Supported market families

  • Unique PONS buyers during a fixed future window.
  • PONS trading volume during a fixed future window.
  • Count of canonical-pool PONS trades during a fixed future window.
  • Highest-volume Pons launch when enough eligible launches exist.
  • First graduation when multiple eligible active launches exist.

Dynamic ranges are derived from recent real activity. The generator does not create fake markets to fill the page, and it never creates price-up, price-down, long or short markets.

Incremental indexing

The indexer reads the official Robinhood Chain public RPC in bounded block ranges. It caches aggressively, retries transient failures, stores per-source cursors, and makes every write idempotent. A database lock and cooldown prevent simultaneous visitors from starting duplicate backfills.

Resolution safety

Before signing, the resolution service checks the complete measurement range again. A missing range, malformed specification, conflicting event interpretation or ambiguous result produces a void authorization instead of a guessed winner.

Oracle & contract

Signed authorizations, permission boundaries and trust assumptions.

The backend is a signing and indexing service, not a custodial operator. EIP-712 authorizations let users carry creation and resolution data onchain themselves.

Creation authorization

The server signs a deterministic market specification. The first participant can create the market and enter it in one transaction. The signature binds chain ID, market contract, market ID, parameters and expiry to prevent cross-chain or cross-contract replay.

Resolution authorization

Once the deadline and measurement window have passed, the server derives the result from indexed public history and signs it. A claimant can submit that signature; the contract finalizes once, then processes the claim.

Permission boundaries

  • The owner cannot withdraw user market pots.
  • The owner may rotate the oracle signer and 1% treasury recipient.
  • Emergency pause blocks new entries only.
  • Valid claims and refunds remain available while paused.
  • Positions are protected against double claims and reentrant transfers.
Production contract0xfbc6CC0F1fE6e9a4aA553C00795347F5BD9699b0

Addresses

Canonical Robinhood Chain, PONS and Pons integration references.

These public references are used to identify canonical PONS and current or legacy Pons activity on Robinhood Chain.

Robinhood Chain mainnet
Chain ID 4663
Official public RPC
https://rpc.mainnet.chain.robinhood.com
Official PONS token
0x39dBED3a2bd333467115dE45665cC57F813C4571
Canonical PONS pool
0x10CC6BD38112cAc182db90B6a71d8Bb5939526bA
Pons v1 active factory
0xA5aAb3F0c6EeadF30Ef1D3Eb997108E976351feB
Pons v1 legacy factory
0x0c37a24F5D23A486FA692d1500881d698B1F77a4
Pons v2 factory
0x7eD598BcEf8bd9Edd8C97A195C6d13f40801EC7e
Prediction market
0xfbc6CC0F1fE6e9a4aA553C00795347F5BD9699b0
Burn address
0x000000000000000000000000000000000000dEaD

Deployment addresses appear here only after a real production deployment. Never rely on an address shared outside the app or this page.

Risks

Important limitations to understand before signing an onchain transaction.

market is experimental onchain software. Read the transaction details in your wallet and understand the following risks before using PONS.

Contract risk

Tests and conservative primitives reduce risk but cannot prove the absence of every defect. Smart-contract transactions are public and irreversible.

Asset and market risk

Predictions can lose the entire amount entered. PONS value and liquidity can change, and a winning PONS payout does not imply a gain in another currency.

RPC and data availability

Public RPC limits can delay indexing or signing. The interface may temporarily show a retry state. The service should void an ambiguous market rather than infer an outcome from partial data.

Wallet safety

  • Use the correct Robinhood Chain network and inspect the contract address.
  • Approve only an amount you intend to use.
  • Never enter a seed phrase or raw private key into the site.
  • Confirm that a claim or refund transaction succeeded onchain.
Independent and experimentalmarket is not affiliated with pons. Nothing in these docs is financial advice.